Once again, the late evening model runs remain consistent, although they do pull the deeper moisture slightly to the north. This means a potential increase in snow amounts and also a greater chance that sleet will mix in across Southside VA (which of course could hold down some of the higher accumulations). I remain concerned that the very cold, dry air mass from the north will play a role in how much snow we get. However, I am tweaking a few numbers ever so slightly, indicating the potential for slightly more snow to the north. Here are the numbers:
Metro Richmond/Goochland/Powhatan/Charles City: 7-10 inches
Southern Chesterfield/Tri-Cities/New Kent/Williamsburg/Farmville: 8-12 inches
Southside Virginia: 10 inches plus, with locally 12 inches or more (depending on whether sleet mixes in)
Charlottesville: 4-7 inches
Fredericksburg: 3-5 inches
Northern Neck: 5-9 inches
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