Friday, September 3, 2010

Earl update and the rest of the tropics...

Earl continues to move away from the Mid-Atlantic coast and toward southeastern New England. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to 80 mph, so Earl is now a minimal hurricane and further weakening is forecast. However, the large circulation will continue to impact southern New England through tonight. Storm surge values of 1-2 feet are still expected at the time of high tide in Virginia, potentially causing minor flooding along southern portions of Chesapeake Bay. Significant swells will continue to bring a high risk of rip currents, along with high surf along the Mid-Atlantic coast.

Elsewhere, Tropical Storm Fiona is weakening (max sustained winds at 45 mph), with the center expected to be near Bermuda early Saturday morning. What was once Gaston is a disorganized area of thunderstorms, but regeneration into a tropical depression is possible over the weekend. And finally, an area of low pressure has developed along yet another tropical wave located between the west coast of Africa and the Cape Verde Islands. This system has the potential for some development over the weekend as well.

So the tropics remain very busy, which is appropriate since we are now entering the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season.

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