Saturday, September 8, 2007

Gabrielle moving northwest toward North Carolina

Gabrielle remains a Subtropical Storm this afternoon and continues on a track toward North Carolina. Tropical storm warnings are now in effect as of Saturday afternoon from Surf City, NC north to the North Carolina/Virginia border.

The hurricane model data continues to show a track around the periphery of a ridge to the northeast of the storm. This would keep the center from moving inland. However, it is likely to skirt the Outer Banks of NC Sunday evening. Any significant impacts are still expected to be confined to coastal communities, particularly in eastern North Carolina.

While the storm remains "subtropical" due to its wide spread of maximum winds (which are at 45 mph), it could become tropical over the next 24 hours with some stregthening a possibility. After Gabrielle flirts with North Carolina, it should recurve out into the Atlantic.

If there are any significant changes to the storm over the weekend, I will post again. Otherwise, enjoy the rest of the weekend!

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