Thursday, February 12, 2009

Cooler Weather To Return...

We've got another day with mild temperatures in the 60s today. The main feature will be the high winds, sustained at 20-30 mph, with occasional gusts over 40 mph. "Cooler" air will gradually infiltrate the region, and temperatures will lower into the 30s overnight. Friday's highs will be a little lower than recent days, averaging in the upper 50s.

Some storminess on the weekend...

Temperatures will be much cooler this weekend, in the 40s. A system coming in from the west on Saturday will bring some rain to start the weekend on Valentine's Day. On Sunday, the model data is taking another piece of upper level energy and swinging it across the Mid-Atlantic/Southeast. There could even be a weak surface low developing, which could potentially produce some more precipitation, although it looks like it would be south of us. Something to keep an eye on though...

Another storm mid-week...and rumors of snow...

Temperatures will remain closer to seasonal norms next week, with afternoon highs in the mid and upper 40s Monday and Tuesday. Another storm will threaten the region on Wednesday. I've heard all sorts of rumors of snow flying around, but let's be reasonable here. First of all, the model data has been showing some numbers that could support snow, but the overall pattern doesn't quite fit. The main issue I see is the lack of a good cold air mass and strong high pressure to the north. It's just not there or it's too far north. The most recent model runs show an inland track, probably over or just northwest of us, which basically means rain (will there be coastal development though?). I could see the possibility of some winter weather at the start, with a change to rain. Of course it's still many days away, so anything can change, but for now it looks like a rain maker to me. Stay tuned!

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