Tuesday, February 17, 2009

Snow Chances This Weekend?

The system approaching our region tomorrow will clearly bring some rain and wind, but all eyes should be turning to the weekend. An intriguing clipper offers snow lovers some hope. The system approaches from the Ohio Valley/Midwest on Saturday. It should be dry during the day, with temperatures likely getting to around 50 degrees. That might lead some to believe how could it snow Saturday night? Well, colder air will be advancing into the region, especially aloft. Lower layer temperatures will be a concern, depending on when we get precipitation. The model data is pretty vigorous with this system crossing the Mid-Atlantic and the European model offers a new solution today. It keys in on additional upper level energy digging south and forming a new surface low on Sunday, which then tracks off the coast and would potentially bring a significant snow threat to our area. However, this is one run and until I see some consistency, I'm not going that route. It appears this will be a dynamic system though, and one I can certainly see giving us at least some light snow/snow showers very late Saturday night into Sunday. If the delayed scenario (Sunday into Monday) ends up taking shape, then watch out! Stay tuned for updates...
Below are the model forecast maps, first from the GFS for Sunday morning, then the European for Saturday and Sunday mornings...






























































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