The model data is showing good consensus for a mixed bag of snow, sleet and freezing rain to occur late Thursday night, probably arriving shortly after midnight. This will be caused by warmer air running up and over cold air at the surface. The milder air will eventually bring a change to rain, but probably not before the morning commute in the metro and certainly later Friday morning in areas north and west of Richmond. Stay tuned for more details in an afternoon update.
Looking ahead...
Temperatures will bounce back above average by early next week...and maybe even over the weekend. Another shot of colder air is still scheduled to arrive later next week (Feb. 27th and beyond). This cold air will probably linger through the first few days of March. The longer range data suggests another storm impacting the area March 5/6, with the possibility of some winter weather on the backside of this system. It's quite a ways out, but something to keep an eye on. The general target dates for storms in the longer range have been pretty good lately.
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