Tuesday, August 25, 2009

Still Watching Tropical Development...Which Could Be Danny...

We're going to have more heat to deal with the next two days, as afternoon temperatures likely rise above 90 degrees. Rain chances will be minimal, although I wouldn't rule out a shower or thunderstorm Thursday afternoon.

The main attention continues to be focused on a tropical wave located about 350 miles north of Puerto Rico as of late Tuesday evening. Hurricane hunters did not find a closed circulation today, but upper level conditions are expected to become more conducive for development and most of our tropical models are forecasting at least a tropical storm to form over the next 24 hours. The latest model tracks shown below (from the late evening data) favor a track east of the coast by Saturday. However, the data has fluctuated a bit and we could see some interaction with a front over the region later in the week. Either way, it looks like we could see a decent influx of moisture over the area, which could lead to some decent rainfall to start the weekend. We'll have to keep a close eye on the development of this system...so stay tuned for updates!

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