Wednesday, February 3, 2010

The next big winter storm is coming!

The next big winter storm is on its way and scheduled to affect the entire Mid-Atlantic Friday morning through Saturday. Low pressure will track from the western Gulf to the Mid-Atlantic coast by early Saturday morning. While the exact track is still in question, this will be a bit "warmer" scenario than last weekend's storm. That means a surge of relatively milder air will move in just above the surface, particularly across southeastern Virginia. For some, that means a change to rain...however, in the climatologically favored areas north and west of Richmond, we should see very heavy snow once again. Metro Richmond is right in the middle (so what else is new?), and I would not rule out significant snowfall. At this time, it appears snow and sleet will develop across the region Friday morning. Several inches could accumulate in the metro before a change to rain (possibly some freezing rain) later in the day. The change to rain should happen fairly quickly in locations well south and east of Richmond. On the contrary, to the north and west, snow and sleet will likely continue Friday night.

As the low moves off the coast, colder air will gradually take over the entire area and most of us will see snow on Saturday, with more accumulation possible. A Winter Storm Watch is currently in effect for Hanover County and points north and west. This is where the most significant snow is likely to fall, and big snows are possible from Charlottesville up to DC and then north to Philadelphia. The numbers on the computer model runs are quite impressive, and they might have to measure the snow with a yardstick!

Stay tuned for updates...

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