Updated snow totals from across the region...

Here are some snow totals, updated late Saturday evening:

RIC Airport: 7.0"
City of Richmond (Willow Lawn): 11.5"
Short Pump 14.0"
Glen Allen 14.0"
Chesterfield 9.0"
Ashland 14.0"
Beaverdam 13.0"
Coatesville 12.0"
Lake Louisa: 18.0"
Bumpass 18.0"
Louisa 19.0"
Powhatan 11.0"
Sandy Hook 15.5"
Manakin-Sabot 15.5"
Columbia 15.0"
Crozet 22.0
Stuarts Draft 28.8"
Fishersville 26.0"
Staunton 22.0"
Charlottesville 21.0"
Waynesboro 28.0"
Ruckersville 19.5"
Wintergreen 30.0"
Massanutten 20.5"
Orange 16.0"
Luray 21.0"
Front Royal 21.0"
Chancellorsville 18.5"
Belmont 19.0"
Ruther Glen 18.0"
Bowling Green 15.0"
Studley 12.0"
Warsaw 10.0"
Wakefield 3.0"
Victoria 5.0"
Disputanta 4.5"

One of the biggest all-time December snows in Virginia

The snow is really piling up in many locations tonight, as the monster storm is likely to be historic for parts of the region. While mixed precipitation will inch north and west overnight into the Metro Richmond area, as the storm deepens along the coast, we should go back to all snow tomorrow. Even coastal areas will see a bit of the white snow...and locations west and north of Richmond will be buried! The wind will be an issue as well, sustained at 10-20 mph with higher gusts in Metro Richmond. This will cause considerable blowing and drifting of the snow. Along the coast, sustained winds of 20-30 mph with gusts over 45 mph are possible.

Here's a look at what to expect by tomorrow evening.

Monster storm could bring a memorable December snowfall to the Mid-Atlantic...

Everything is on target for big snow across parts of the Mid-Atlantic tonight through tomorrow night. It will begin as a light mixture of wintry precipitation from south to north over central Virginia and then pick up later tonight. A bit of milder air aloft will be responsible for the mixture. However, to the west and north of Richmond, it should be mainly snow overnight and that's the area that will end up with the highest totals when all is said and done. In the metro area, sleet and snow will be mixed during the early morning hours, but will likely change to snow, which could be heavy at times. Locations east of I-95 and especially south of I-64 towards the coast will have more liquid precipitation and so accumulations will be lower.

The key to precipitation type is a surge of milder air aloft that will cause the mixture of precipitation. How far inland this line moves and sets up will ultimately determine accumulations. There will be a fine line between the mixture and heavy snow, and this line may be very close to Richmond at least through tomorrow morning. Eventually it will shift south and east, causing a change to snow for much of the region. The only exception will probably be coastal areas and extreme southeast Virginia, where they may see a mix or changeover late in the day or at night.

Even with the mixed precipitation early on, I expect a heavy snowfall for much of the Metro Richmond area and places west of I-95 will really see a lot. This event has the potential to be historical here and across the Mid-Atlantic. It's interesting to note the top two December snowfalls on record in Richmond are 17.2" (December 22-23, 1908) and 10.4" (December 12-14, 1917).

Here's what I expect in terms of accumulation:

Metro Richmond to the Tri-Cities: 6-10 inches (higher west, lower east of I-95 and down near the Tri-Cities)
North and West (Short Pump/Goochland/western Hanover west to Charlottesville, north to Fredericksburg and southwest to Farmville): 12 inches or more
Northern Neck/Middle Peninsula: 2-4 inches along the coast, 5-10 inches well inland
Emporia northeast through Wakefield and up to Charles City: 3-6 inches

Big winter storm to affect the entire region Friday night and Saturday...

LATE NIGHT UPDATE: The evening computer runs are very consistent. The forecast stands with big snows on the way for many. See below...

All of our computer model data is now coming in line with the storm for Saturday. While it will be a big one, we're still not sure on accumulation amounts for the Metro Richmond area and points south and east, due to the fact that there will be a fine line between a mix of wintry precipitation and heavy snow over our area. The key will be a possible surge of milder air aloft as the storm deepens just off the North Carolina & Virginia coasts. It doesn't appear this surge will move very far inland, which means the Metro Richmond area could end up with a lot of snow. However, just a few miles could be the difference between a foot of snow and significantly less.

Regardless, this looks like it will be a memorable snowstorm for central Virignia and much of the Mid-Atlantic. The top two December snowstorms on record in Richmond are 17.2" (December 22-23, 1908) and 10.4" (December 12-14, 1917).

Here's the timeline for the metro area:

Friday night: Precipitation begins during the evening and continues overnight as a mix of wintry weather types
Saturday morning: Mainly snow and sleet
Saturday afternoon: Snow, possibly heavy at times

As colder air gets drawn south and east during Saturday, we should see most places change over to snow. The only exception will likely be right along the coast and extreme southeastern Virginia, although they may get into a wintry mix later in the day.

As for potential accumulations, here are my thoughts:

Metro Richmond down to the Tri-Cities: 6-10 inches, although this all depends on where that fine thin line sets up and as usual, we'll be right near it! 12 inches are certainly a possibility for the western suburbs of Richmond
North and West (Goochland/western Hanover going west and Ashland going north to Fredericksburg): 12 inches +
Northern Neck/Middle Peninsula: 2-4 inches near the coast, 5-10 inches well inland
Wakefield down to Emporia: 3-6 inches

Keep in mind these are potential acccumulations. If mixed precipitation occurs longer than expected, accumulations will be lower. One thing is for sure, I think places west of Richmond will see a very heavy snowfall!

Stay tuned for updates...

A Taste of Wintry Weather Tomorrow...

A cold rain will spread over the region from the south during the wee hours of the morning as low pressure develops along the coast. The rain will continue through much of Saturday, mixing with some snow well west of Interstate 95. As the storm moves north-northeast and pulls away from the area, colder air will continue to take hold. As our temperature profile gets colder, we'll see a changeover to snow from west to east by late afternoon and evening. An upper level disturbance will keep enough moisture over the region to produce some snow during the evening in Metro Richmond and possibly even points east towards the coast. With the relatively warm ground temperatures, I don't expect much accumulation. However, being that it will be nighttime and temperatures will be lowering through the 30s, I think we could see some minor accumulation on grassy surfaces, decks, etc. Road surfaces should remain wet. Well to the north and west of Richmond, from western Goochland and Hanover back to Charlottesville, I wouldn't be surprised to see an inch or two of accumulation, with some local amounts of 3 inches.

The Latest on Saturday...

No real change to the Saturday forecast everyone!

Low pressure develops along the coast and that means a cold rain by early Saturday morning. Temperatures will start out very close to 40 and hover there for a while before slowly lowering through the 30s by late afternoon and evening. Critical values in the atmosphere will be a little too high for snow for most of the day from the I-95 corridor east, but a mixture of rain and wet snow is possible during the afternoon well west of I-95.

As the coastal storm moves north-northeast and begins to pull away from the area, the atmospheric profile will get colder. While often in this situation drier air moves in with the cold, that won't necessarily be the case here. An upper level disturbance will still have to cross from the west and that will leave more available moisture for Saturday evening. It's then that I think we'll have our best shot at some snow in the Metro Richmond area.

With relatively warm ground temperatures, it will be hard to get anything to stick, although since it will be nighttime we may see some light accumulation on grassy surfaces, decks, etc. The roads should not be an issue. Stay tuned for any updates...

Snow on Saturday?

Another coastal storm will impact the Mid-Atlantic on Saturday. It will be too warm when everything gets going for any snow over much of the region. So right now a cold rain is the call for Saturday morning and afternoon in and around Richmond. There could be a mix of rain and snow well west of Interstate 95, where temperatures and conditions will be more ripe for wintry precipitation.
By later in the day, the storm will begin to pull north-northeast, bringing even colder air into central Virginia. Even though the storm will be moving away from us, there will be a good batch of upper level energy that still has to rotate through from the west, so precipitation chances will continue Saturday night. It's then that I think we could see a swath of snow over much of the region. Since it will be nighttime and temperatures will be lowering through the 30s, accumulation could be a possibility (at least on grassy surfaces, decks, etc.). So stay tuned for further updates!

Tornado Watch Until 4 A.M.

A Tornado Watch is in effect until 4 A.M. for much of central and eastern Virginia. Isolated thunderstorms developing over the region could produce strong, damaging winds and a tornado or two.

CLICK HERE FOR CURRENT WARNINGS

A milder Sunday followed by quick changes this week...

A seasonably chilly night is on tap across central Virginia, with mainly clear skies and light winds. Temperatures will lower into the low and mid 30s early tomorrow morning. A much milder afternoon is on the way tomorrow, as a southwest breeze will pick up with high pressure inching off the Southeast coast. With plenty of sunshine, temperatures should soar into the mid and upper 60s during the afternoon. There won't be any weather issues for travelers along the East Coast either, so it's shaping up to be a pleasant finish to the long holiday weekend.

Changes in our weather will be quick this coming week. On Monday, a cold front will sweep in from the west bringing another round of showers. High pressure will follow on Tuesday, bringing the sun back with a surge of cooler air (highs in the mid 50s). Then a more significant storm will take shape along the Gulf Coast and impact the Mid-Atlantic Wednesday and Thursday. The storm will track from Louisiana on Wednesday morning to the northern Mid-Atlantic by Thursday morning. A cool wedge will be in place Wednesday, keeping temperatures in the low 50s at best as rain arrives. As the storm moves north by Wednesday evening, temperatures will probably hold steady or rise just a bit. More showers are likely on Thursday and the wind will turn to the north and then northwest, pulling in another shot of chilly air to finish out the work week.

As of now, next weekend looks dry but on the chilly side with afternoon highs in the lower 50s and overnight lows at or below the freezing mark.

Winter Outlook is posted!

The full text and video presentation is available by logging on to richmondforecast.com and clicking on the Winter Outlook tab!

My 9th Annual Winter Outlook!

I will be issuing my 9th Annual Winter Outlook today. Hear it during Kat's Cafe on Lite 98 between 2 P.M. and 3 P.M. or during the Afternoons with Tony Booth show on 107.3 BBT around 5:45 P.M. The entire outlook and video presentation will be posted on richmondforecast.com in the afternoon!

Frost could coat the ground this week...

The signs of the changing seasons include frost on the ground, and that will be a good possibility in many locations during the early morning hours this week. High pressure building in from the Ohio Valley will bring plenty of sunshine today, with light northwest breezes coming down the mountains boosting temperatures well into the 60s during the afternoon. However, a cooler air mass gradually moving into the region will allow temperatures to lower quickly at night, down into the 30s early Wednesday morning. The highest probability of frost will be in outlying rural communities. Daytime temperatures on Wednesday are not expected to rise out of the 50s.
Another surge of cool air will arrive later in the week.

While temperatures may rebound above 60 degrees Thursday afternoon, we'll be back down in the 30s at night. We're in for a couple of frosty starts Friday and Saturday mornings, with most temperatures well down into the 30s. Frost may be scattered Friday morning, but will likely be more widespread on Saturday, when most locations will reach near or below the freezing mark. So be prepared for the frost, as even the city may see some to start the weekend.

A strong area of high pressure building across the Mid-Atlantic over the weekend will bring a wide range in temperature from early morning to late afternoon. Expect afternoon temperatures on Saturday to reach the low to mid 60s, with upper 60s to near 70 on Sunday.

Severe weather today?

The Storm Prediction Center has placed the Mid-Atlantic in a risk area for severe weather today. The persistent warm, moist southerly flow ahead of an approaching cold front will increase the threat for thunderstorms this afternoon. Limited instability may inhibit widespread development, but shear profiles are favorable for supercells to form, with the threat for damaging winds and possibly isolated tornadoes.

A wet start to the weekend...

The weekend will start on a mild but wet note across central Virginia. An approaching cold front will produce gusty south-southwest breezes that will boost temperatures into the upper 70s. However, added moisture will mean numerous showers and potentially a thunderstorm or two. Our computer data is suggesting 1/2" or more of rain is possible this afternoon and evening. As the front exits the coast tonight, high pressure will build over the Mid-Atlantic, bringing sunshine back into the picture tomorrow. Temperatures will be cooler to finish the weekend, averaging in the mid 60s for daytime highs.

As the new week begins, that area of high pressure should stay in control, with more sunshine and afternoon temperatures in the mid 60s Monday. A developing coastal front may bring some showers Tuesday, but drier weather should sneak back into the area Wednesday and Thursday. One of our more reliable computer models suggests the potential for an area of low pressure to ride up along the front, potentially hanging around into Wednesday. So there's the possibility the drier air may be delayed just a bit. The rest of the week should produce seasonal temperatures, which typically average in the 60s during the day and 40s at night.

Weekend weather looks good!

This first weekend of October is shaping up to be a really good one here in central Virginia. A cold front sliding across the region early this morning will keep some clouds around and might even trigger an isolated shower or two, but skies should become mostly sunny this afternoon. The "cooler" and drier air will lag behind the front, and a downslope west to southwest flow will help boost afternoon temperatures into the low 80s.As the cooler air settles in with a big ridge of high pressure, temperatures will lower into the low and mid 50s early Sunday morning, but then rebound during the afternoon into the upper 70s.

High pressure will remain in control on Monday, offering another mostly sunny day. Moisture will return from the south on Tuesday with more clouds and potentially some showers by nightfall. Another front will arrive from the west on Wednesday, keeping the threat for at least a few passing showers. Temperatures mid-week will fluctuate a bit, warming back above 80 on Wednesday, but then cooling down again on Thursday.

Mike-s Weekend Getaway--September 26-27

THE BEACHES

Saturday: Cloudy with rain likely later on and at night...high in the low 70s
Sunday: Mostly cloudy with lingering showers in the morning, some afternoon sun...high in the upper 70s

Water temperatures (as of early Friday morning):

Virginia Beach: 74
Lewisetta, VA: 77
Ocean City, MD: 75
Duck, NC: 73
Wilmington, NC: 84

THE MOUNTAINS

Saturday: Cloudy and cool with rain likely...high in the low 60s
Sunday: Clouds (and possibly early showers) give way to some sun...high around 70

Mike's Weekend Getaway--September 19-20

THE BEACHES

Saturday: Partly sunny...high in the mid 70s
Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds...high in the mid 70s

Water temperatures (as of early Friday morning):

Virginia Beach: 68
Lewisetta, VA: 73
Ocean City, MD: 72
Duck, NC: 75
Wilmington, NC: 83

THE MOUNTAINS

Saturday: Mostly sunny...high close to 70
Sunday: Mostly cloudy, a few late showers possible...high around 70

A rather unsettled week ahead...

After all the beautiful weather this past week, the coming week will present the complete opposite. Get used to the clouds and rain, as much of the week will be unsettled. Low pressure slowly tracking north through the Mid-Atlantic will bring an increase in shower coverage tonight, and some heavy rain is possible at times tomorrow. Our computer data suggests up to an inch of rain could be on the way through early Tuesday evening, with another 1/2 inch or so on Wednesday. With an enhanced onshore flow, there could certainly be locally higher amounts, particularly east of Interstate 95.

While I do expect us to see a little sun later in the week, waves of moisture will continue to ride up along the coast and it looks like the onshore flow will stick around. This means the threat for at least a few showers will remain in the forecast through the rest of the work week. Hopefully by the weekend, we'll get more significant drying to take place. In the mean time, our lawns will appreciate the water from Mother Nature.

Mike's Weekend Getaway--September 5-7

THE BEACHES

Saturday: Partly sunny...high in the mid 80s
Sunday & Monday: Partly sunny...high in the low 80s

Water temperatures (as of Thursday afternoon):

Virginia Beach: 76
Lewisetta, VA: 74
Ocean City, MD: 76
Duck, NC: 73
Wilmington, NC: 84

THE MOUNTAINS

Saturday: Mostly sunny...high in the low 80s
Sunday: Mostly sunny...high around 80
Monday: Mostly sunny...high in the low 80s

Danny Heading Out to Sea...A "Cooler" Change on the Way...

Tropical Storm Danny continues to be rather weak and has increased its forward speed as it now heads north-northeast well off the East Coast. The storm is expected to pass by the Outer Banks of North Carolina early Saturday morning and then offshore of southern New England Saturday evening. It should move near the Canadian Maritimes on Sunday.

As for effects on the Mid-Atlantic coast, there won't be much in the way of rain or wind at all. The main problem will be a high risk of rip currents due to large ocean swells. Dangerous surf condiitions will continue into Saturday night.

In central Virginia, an upper low crossing the region has brought showers, but those will taper Saturday morning. Somewhat drier air will mean the sun will pop out, although with rather high moisture content in the atmosphere we could still see an isolated shower or thunderstorm around during the day. Then on Sunday, a cold front will approach from the west offering the possibilty of a few scattered afternoon thunderstorms. Behind this front, a signficant change is on the way, with afternoon temperatures in the 70s early next week. The front will actually linger over the southern Mid-Atlantic and Southeast. At this time, it appears a few ways of low pressure may move along the front, potentially bringing occasional rain chances, particularly late Monday into early Tuesday and then again Tuesday night into early Wednesday.

Friday Afternoon Update on Danny

As of midday, Tropical Storm Danny remains rather disorganized, now located 350 miles south of Cape Hatteras, NC. While the storm has wobbled a bit west, it is expected to resume its northwest track and turn to the north-northeast tonight. Danny will make its closest approach to the Outer Banks late tonight and early Saturday morning. A Tropical Storm Watch remains in effect from Cape Lookout to Duck, including the Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds. Maximum sustained winds are at 40 mph, making Danny a minimal tropical storm. While some strengthening is possible, that window of opportunity will be closing by tomorrow morning as the storm accelerates to the northeast. Large swells are expected to produce dangerous surf conditions and life-threatening rip currents along the East Coast through Saturday.

Danny will pass too far east of the Virginia coast to have any real impact in central Virginia. The official forecast track from the National Hurricane Center is below, followed by the latest computer model tracks from the most recent runs.

Early Friday Morning Update on Danny...

Tropical Storm Danny continues to inch its way closer to the U.S., but it's still expected to gradually curve north and northeast, staying well east of the Virginia coast. It's closest point of approach will be the Outer Banks of North Carolina and a Tropical Storm Watch is posted from Cape Lookout north to Duck. This means there is the possibility of tropical storm force winds along the North Carolina coast within the next 36 hours.

After strengthening earlier Thursday, Danny weakened a bit as of the late night advisory. Maximum sustained winds are at 45 mph. While some strengthening is possible, the overall computer model suite isn't as impressive as earlier runs, which showed the potential for a hurricane. The storm is quite disorganized and it's hard to pick out the center on satellite imagery.

If you have plans to go to the beach, be aware that even at Virginia Beach and up the Mid-Atlantic and New England coasts, large swells are expected to produce dangerous surf conditions and life-threatening rip currents through Saturday.

Central Virginia should not experience any significant impact from the storm. The overall wind flow should enhance the moisture content over the area Friday afternoon and evening, leading to numerous showers and a few thunderstorms. However, as the storm passes by on Saturday, drier air will gradually take over and we'll see a decent amount of sunshine. That doesn't mean rain chances will disappear though, as a cold front will approach from the west on Sunday. As this front sinks south and east of the region, somewhat cooler air will take over early next week.

The official NHC forecast track is shown below, followed by the late night computer model tracks.

Danny...Thursday Midday Update

As of midday, Tropical Storm Danny is now located 550 miles south-southeast of Cape Hatteras, NC. It has moved somewhat erratically to the northwest, but is still expected to turn to the north by tomorrow and then increase its forward speed. A look at the computer model data from the morning runs (below) shows that the suite is in very good agreement, keeping the center of the storm well offshore. The official NHC forecast follows this lead and if this track verifies, central Virginia will experience minimal impact from Danny. The main effect will likely be the onshore flow ahead of the storm, which will increase the available moisture for scattered showers and thunderstorms along a nearly stationary front over the region. The greatest threat will come later tomorrow and tomorrow night. By Saturday, subsidence (sinking air) on the back side of the storm will likely lead to sunshine, although a few isolated showers or thundershowers can't be ruled out.

Tropical Storm Danny and the Next Few Days...

As of late Wednesday night, Tropical Storm Danny was located about 675 south-southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina. The storm is packing maximum sustained winds of 50 mph. It is moving northwest at 10 mph and this motion is expected to continue over the next 24 hours (through Thursday evening). The potential exists for further strengthening, and it is possible that Danny becomes a hurricane. The computer data is in good agreement that by late Thursday night and early Friday morning, Danny will turn north and then move parallel to the Eastern seaboard, well off the coast.

Even though the storm's center is expected to remain well away from the coastline, some impacts will likely be felt. Large swells, gusty winds and potentially heavy rainfall could skirt coastal areas later Friday night into Saturday. Inland, over central Virginia including the Richmond area, the effects may not be as significant. The exact track will determine what happens here, as any deviation in the track to the left could mean decent rainfall spreading inland.

As of now, central Virginia will likely be dealing with a few scattered showers and thunderstorms Friday afternoon and evening. This will be the result of a lingering front over the area and an enhanced onshore flow due to Danny. If the current forecast track verifies, the storm will accelerate as it moves up the coast and we could actually see some drier air moving in by Saturday afternoon as the flow shifts away from onshore. Either way, another front will slide into the region by Sunday morning, so at least some rain chances will linger through the weekend. Drier and somewhat "cooler" air will move into the Mid-Atlantic early next week.

National Hurricane Center official forecast:



















Computer model forecasts for Danny (most recent runs as of late Wednesday evening):

Tropical Storm Danny...

The tropical wave we've talked about recently has become Tropical Storm Danny. It is located a little over 700 miles east-southeast of Cape Hatteras, NC as of late morning. The storm is expected to move west-northwest and then curve to the north and eventually northeast. Most of the computer models show the turn keeping the storm out to sea. However, a couple of models, including the shorter-range NAM and European show the storm potentially making landfall on the East Coast and moving up along the coast. If we feel any significant impacts from Danny, it would likely be later Friday and particularly Saturday. Stay tuned for updates!

Still Watching Tropical Development...Which Could Be Danny...

We're going to have more heat to deal with the next two days, as afternoon temperatures likely rise above 90 degrees. Rain chances will be minimal, although I wouldn't rule out a shower or thunderstorm Thursday afternoon.

The main attention continues to be focused on a tropical wave located about 350 miles north of Puerto Rico as of late Tuesday evening. Hurricane hunters did not find a closed circulation today, but upper level conditions are expected to become more conducive for development and most of our tropical models are forecasting at least a tropical storm to form over the next 24 hours. The latest model tracks shown below (from the late evening data) favor a track east of the coast by Saturday. However, the data has fluctuated a bit and we could see some interaction with a front over the region later in the week. Either way, it looks like we could see a decent influx of moisture over the area, which could lead to some decent rainfall to start the weekend. We'll have to keep a close eye on the development of this system...so stay tuned for updates!

Heating Up Again...and Keeping a Close Eye on the Tropics...

We enjoyed a rather pleasant day across central Virginia to start the new work week, with lots of sunshine and afternoon temperatures in the mid 80s. The temperature will start to climb, however, over the next 24 to 48 hours and the heat will be back in the Mid-Atlantic for a couple of days.

High pressure will move over us and then shift off the coast later Wednesday into Thursday, enabling temperatures to jump back into the 90s. Then the next front will slowly approach from the west and increase our rain chances later Thursday and especially Friday.

The start of the weekend could be rather interesting, as the tropics could get involved. As of late Monday night, a tropical wave is interacting with an upper low about 300 miles from the Leeward Islands. Conditions may become favorable for development with this system as it moves to the west-northwest. Some of our computer model data suggests this feature could have an impact over the Mid-Atlantic later Friday and Saturday, at the very least increasing the amount of moisture over the region. This is certainly something to keep a close eye on over the next few days, especially if you have weekend plans that take you to the coast.

Severe Thunderstorm Watch Until 7 P.M.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect for central and eastern Virginia until 7 P.M. Some storms may contain damaging winds and hail.

CLICK HERE FOR CURRENT WARNINGS

Mike's Weekend Getaway--August 22-23

THE BEACHES

** High Surf Advisory in effect from 6 A.M. Saturday until Noon Sunday **

Saturday: A mix of clouds and sun with scattered showers and thunderstorms...high in the mid to upper 80s
Sunday: Partly sunny, still a shower or two possible...high in the mid 80s

Water temperatures (as of Friday evening):

Virginia Beach: 81
Lewisetta, VA: 86
Ocean City, MD: 80
Duck, NC: 63
Wilmington, NC: 88

THE MOUNTAINS:

Saturday: Lots of clouds with a few scattered showers and thunderstorms...high near 80
Sunday: Partly sunny...high near 80

Severe Thunderstorm Watch Until 9 P.M.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect for all of central Virginia until 9 P.M. Strong storms developing over the area may contain damaging winds and hail.

CLICK HERE FOR CURRENT WARNINGS

Mike's Weekend Getaway--August 15-16

THE BEACHES

Saturday: Partly sunny with a few scattered showers and thunderstorms around, particularly in the afternoon...high in the mid 80s
Sunday: Partly to mostly sunny...high in the upper 80s

Water temperatures (as of Friday evening):

Virginia Beach: 80
Lewisetta, VA: 84
Ocean City, MD: 81
Duck, NC: 76
Wilmington, NC: 87

THE MOUNTAINS

Saturday: Mostly sunny...high in the low to mid 80s
Sunday: Partly to mostly sunny...high in the low to mid 80s

Severe Thunderstorm Watch Until 9 P.M.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect for southeastern Virginia until 9:00 P.M. Strong thunderstorms developing from Emporia to Hampton Roads may contain damaging winds and hail.

CLICK HERE FOR CURRENT WARNINGS

Severe Thunderstorm Watch across southern Virginia Until 10 P.M.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect for many counties along the North Carolina border until 10 P.M. Strong thunderstorms developing across the area could produce damaging winds and hail.

CLICK HERE FOR CURRENT WARNINGS

The Perseids Are Here!

Courtesy: NASA

The annual Perseid meteor shower is now in full swing, and will peak this Wednesday morning, August 12th. The Perseid meteors usually put on one of the better shows of the year, the result of debris from the Comet Swift-Tuttle. The meteors are named after the constellation Perseus, which is where the shower appears to originate from. The shower is visible for several weeks (from late July into late August) in the summer sky, but the peak usually occurs on August 12th, when up to 60 meteors per hour may be seen this year. Under good viewing conditions, the meteors are very bright, but are actually very small particles of debris racing through space. The high rate of speed helps their visibility.

Tips on viewing this week's Perseids:

-- The best time to watch will be later Tuesday evening into the early morning hours of Wednesday

-- Get away from city lights and any source of light pollution (the less visible light, the better)

-- Look to the northeast toward the constellation Perseus (the meteor's tails will point this direction)

-- Allow your eyes to adjust to the dark sky...this could take a while, but it's worth it

-- Try to avoid light from the moon (the moon will be rising just before 10 P.M. Tuesday in the north sky)

While the Perseids appear to originate from the constellation Perseus, they can appear in any part of the sky. Usually the best time to view them is between midnight and dawn. However, the moon may get in the way this year. It will be low in the sky before midnight, so a good time to look may be between 10 P.M. and midnight. After that, the glow from the moon may temper the show a bit, although if you're in a real dark area, you'll probably get to see your share! Another concern is the weather and cloud cover, so check in with my latest forecast at richmondforecast.com!

A Monday Scorcher!

The big time heat is here! As expected, temperatures this afternoon have reached the mid 90s and tomorrow will be the real scorcher. A developing west wind coming down the mountains will help to boost afternoon readings near the century mark on Monday. The record high at Richmond International Airport is 100 degrees, set way back in 1900. We certainly have a shot at that, as we expect plenty of sunshine to heat us up. There is the slight risk of an isolated afternoon thundershower, as a lee side trough sets up over central Virginia. Our rain chances will increase a bit on Tuesday as a front approaches from the west. This front will linger over or near the region for the rest of the work week, leading to a threat for scattered showers and thunderstorms each afternoon.

Major League Heat Returns...

We've enjoyed a couple of pleasant summer days with afternoon temperatures in the 80s, but that's going to change. The big time heat is about to return, as high pressure settles along the East Coast. A building ridge in the upper atmosphere will set the stage for temperatures well into the 90s, flirting with the century mark and potentially giving us a new record high on Monday.

Tomorrow will be a sunny one, with afternoon highs in the mid and upper 90s. The heat index, which considers the combination of temperature and humidity, should reach up to around 101 degrees. Monday will likely be the hottest day, with the best shot at reaching a record high at RIC Airport. A west wind coming down the mountains should enable temperatures to soar up near the 100-degree mark during the afternoon (with a heat index around 106-107 degrees). A typical developing lee-side trough could spark an isolated afternoon thunderstorm, but the chances are very low.

We'll remain in a general westerly flow on Tuesday, but a slowly approaching front will bring a slightly higher threat for scattered afternoon thunderstorms. Temperatures will still reach the mid and upper 90s, but the extreme heat should eventually let up a bit on Wednesday. As the upper ridge flattens and the front settles over the region, we'll see our scattered shower and thunderstorm chances increase Wednesday through Friday.

Here are the record highs at RIC Airport the next few days:
Sunday: 101 degrees, set in 1930
Monday: 100 degrees, set in 1900
Tuesday: 102 degrees, set in 1900

Be sure to drink plenty of water to keep yourself hydrated and avoid long periods outside in the hot sun. Bring all pets inside and keep an eye on the elderly.

Mike's Weekend Getaway--August 8-9

THE BEACHES

Saturday: Partly sunny...high in the upper 80s
Sunday: Partly to mostly sunny and very hot...high in the mid 90s

Water temperatures (as of Friday afternoon):

Virginia Beach: 80
Lewisetta, VA: 830
Ocean City, MD: 79
Duck, NC: 75
Wilmington, NC: 87

THE MOUNTAINS

Saturday: Partly sunny...high in the mid 80s
Sunday: Hot with a mix of sun and clouds...high in the upper 80s to low 90s

Severe Thunderstorm Watch Until 9 P.M.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect until 9 P.M. for all of eastern Virginia. Isolated strong storms may contain damaging winds and hail.

CLICK HERE FOR CURRENT WARNINGS

Mike's Weekend Getaway--August 1-2

THE BEACHES

Saturday & Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds with scattered thunderstorms each afternoon and evening...high in the upper 80s

Water temperatures (as of Friday afternoon):

Virginia Beach: 78
Lewisetta, VA: 82
Ocean City, MD: 80
Duck, NC: 60
Wilmington, NC: 86

THE MOUNTAINS

Saturday: Mostly sunny...high in the upper 70s to low 80s
Sunday: Sun gives way to thickening clouds, scattered showers and thunderstorms...high close to 80

Mike's Weekend Getaway--July 25-26

THE BEACHES

Saturday: Partly sunny...high in the low 90s
Sunday: Partly sunny with a few scattered late afternoon and evening thunderstorms possible...high in the low 90s

Water temperatures (as of Friday afternoon):

Virginia Beach: 75
Lewisetta, VA: 80
Ocean City, MD: 76
Duck, NC: 67
Wilmington, NC: 84

THE MOUNTAINS

Saturday: Mostly sunny...high in the mid 80s
Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds, scattered showers and thunderstorms...high in the mid 80s

Mike's Weekend Getaway--July 18-19

THE BEACHES

Saturday: Partly sunny with an afternoon thunderstorm possible...high in the mid 80s
Sunday: Partly sunny with an afternoon thunderstorm possible...high in the low 80s

Water Temperatures (as of late Friday afternoon):

Virginia Beach: 75
Lewisetta, VA: 80
Ocean City, MD: 72
Duck, NC: 71
Wilmington, NC: 84

THE MOUNTAINS

Saturday: Mostly sunny, less humid...high in the near 80
Sunday: Lots of sunshine...high in the mid to upper 70s

Tornado Watch Expires at 7 P.M. for Southeast Virginia

A Tornado Watch is in effect for Southeast Virginia until 7 P.M. The main threat through this time is down near the Hampton Roads area.

Severe Thunderstorm Watch Until 5 P.M.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect for virtually all of Central Virginia until 5 P.M. Storms developing across the area may contain damaging winds and hail.

CLICK HERE FOR CURRENT WARNINGS

Mike's Weekend Getaway--July 11-12

THE BEACHES

Saturday: Mostly sunny...high in the mid to upper 80s
Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds with scattered thunderstorms...high in the upper 80s

Water Temperatures (as of late Friday afternoon):

Virginia Beach: 72
Lewisetta, VA: 78
Ocean City, MD: 77
Duck, NC: 76
Wilmington, NC: 84

THE MOUNTAINS

Saturday: Partly sunny with scattered afternoon and evening thunderstorms...high in the mid 80s
Sunday: A mix of clouds and sun, a scattered shower or thunderstorm possible...high in the mid 80s

View the International Space Station from Virginia!

There are many opportunities to take a peak at the International Space Station in the skies this week. Check out the following link for times to view in Richmond:
http://spaceflight1.nasa.gov/realdata/sightings/cities/view.cgi?country=United_States&region=Virginia&city=Richmond

If you are elsewhere in Virginia, check out this link:
http://spaceflight1.nasa.gov/realdata/sightings/cities/region.cgi?country=United_States&region=Virginia

Mike's Weekend Getaway--July 3-5

THE BEACHES

Friday: Mostly sunny...high in the mid 80s
Saturday: Mostly sunny...high in the upper 80s
Sunday: Lots of clouds, scattered showers and thunderstorms possible...high in the upper 70s

Water Temperatures (as of Saturday afternoon):

Virginia Beach: 79
Lewisetta, VA: 80
Ocean City, MD: 76
Duck, NC: 78
Wilmington, NC: 86

THE MOUNTAINS

Friday: Partly sunny...high in the mid to upper 70s
Saturday: Partly sunny...high in the low to mid 80s
Sunday: Mostly cloudy with showers likely...high in the upper 60s

Main Site Issues...

UPDATE: The problem has been solved and all is up to date.

Hi all,

FYI, the main site (http://www.mike-goldberg.com/) is having publishing issues, so I'm unable to post a forecast update. Hopefully this will be resolved within 24 hours. If not, I will post an update here...

Thanks for your continuing support,
Mike

Mike's Weekend Getaway--June 27-28

THE BEACHES

Saturday: Partly sunny...high in the upper 80s
Sunday: Partly sunny, an isolated afternoon shower or thunderstorm possible...high in the mid to upper 80s

Water Temperatures (as of Friday midday):

Virginia Beach: 71
Lewisetta, VA: 80
Ocean City, MD: 73
Wilmington, NC: 83

THE MOUNTAINS

Saturday: Mostly sunny...high in the low to mid 80s
Sunday: Partly sunny, scattered afternoon thunderstorms...high in the low to mid 80s

Severe Thunderstorm Watch Until 9 P.M.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect for most of the region until 9 P.M. Scattered strong storms may produce damaging winds and hail.

CLICK HERE FOR CURRENT WARNINGS

VERY HOT weather by week's end!

The next couple of days will feature more clouds and temperatures a bit below seasonal values. A breeze off the ocean will keep temperatures mainly in the 70s. There will be the threat for a couple of isolated pop-up showers or thunderstorms tomorrow, with a greater chance for more widespread precipitation later Wednesday into Thursday as warmer air begins to spread back north.

By Friday, I expect temperatures to soar well into the 90s and Saturday could be an all-out scorcher! Computer model data supports temperatures in the upper 90s and possibly reaching triple digits. Here are the records at RIC Airport:

Friday: 103 degrees, set in 1944 (that should stand!)
Saturday: 98 degrees, set in 1933 (we have a shot at this one)

So be prepared for extreme heat later this week and to start the weekend. A front is expected to cross the region Saturday night. There may be a few showers and thunderstorms late Saturday and temperatures will come back down into the 80s on Sunday.

Mike's Weekend Getaway--June 13-14

THE BEACHES
Saturday and Sunday: Partly sunny, a few isolated thunderstorms possible...high in the mid 80s
Water Temperatures (as of Thursday evening):
Virginia Beach: 70
Lewisetta, VA: 74
Ocean City, MD: 68
Wilmington, NC: 81

THE MOUNTAINS
Saturday: Partly sunny, a few scattered afternoon thunderstorms...high in the mid 70s
Sunday: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms around...high in the mid 70s

Watch Cancelled...

The Severe Thunderstorm Watch has been cancelled. However, a few showers and thunderstorms are likely across the region overnight.

Severe Thunderstorm Watch Until 8 P.M.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect for all of central Virginia until 8:00 P.M. Thunderstorms moving across the area may produce strong, damaging winds and hail.

CLICK HERE FOR CURRENT WARNINGS

Severe Thunderstorm Watch Until 9 P.M. North of Richmond

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect for northern Virginia until 9 P.M. The watch area includes Charlottesville and Fredericksburg. Strong thunderstorms developing across the region this afternoon and evening may contain strong, damaging winds and hail.

CLICK HERE FOR CURRENT WARNINGS

Tornado Watch for Southern Virginia Until 8:00 P.M.

A Tornado Watch is in effect for Southern Virginia until 8:00 P.M. Isolated strong storms may develop across the region again through early evening, with the possibility of strong winds and hail and an isolated tornado or two over Southside Virginia. The watch area is just south of the Tri-Cities, and includes Emporia, Danville and the Hampton Roads area.

CLICK HERE FOR CURRENT WARNINGS

Wet and Cooler...Sun For the Weekend...

After a rather stormy Wednesday evening, we'll "quiet" down a little, although showers will still be around and I can't rule out a thunderstorm or two today. Temperatures will be a lot lower, averaging in the lower 70s. The same holds true for tomorrow, as showers will linger over the area to finish the work week. This will be due to waves of moisture riding up along the front that will be slow to move east off the coast.

However, the front should clear the region in time for the weekend. I've heard some talk of a rather hot weekend, but I don't really see that happening. Look for afternoon temperatures close to 80 on Saturday, warming slowly into the mid 80s for some places on Sunday. Not bad if you ask me! Our rain chances should remain relatively low, although we'll need to watch the warmer air advancing north again later in the weekend.

I think the heat will return early next week, when temperatures will probably flirt with 90 degrees Monday and Tuesday. Another front lurking to the north and west could help to trigger some afternoon thunderstorms.

Severe Thunderstorm Watch Until 8 P.M.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect for much of the region until 8 P.M. The watch includes Metro Richmond, the Northern Neck, as well as the Charlottesville, Fredericksburg and Farmville areas...but does not currently include Southside Virginia or the Williamsburg area.

Strong thunderstorms developing over the region this afternoon and evening may contain strong, damaging winds up to 70 mph and hail.

CLICK HERE FOR CURRENT WARNINGS

Severe Thunderstorm Watch to the North Until 8 P.M.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect for the Fredericksburg area and the Northern Neck, extending north into Central New Jersey, until 8 P.M. this evening. Isolated strong storms may contain strong, damaging winds and hail.

CLICK HERE FOR CURRENT WARNINGS

A Nice Weekend...

A cold front moving off the coast will set us up for a very nice weekend over the region. Expect plenty of sunshine and less humid conditions, with afternoon temperatures averaging in the low to mid 80s.

Early next week, the steamy air will make a return, particularly on Tuesday when southwest winds will boost temperatures to around 90 with increasing humidity. The next front will settle into the region later Wednesday, bringing another threat for thunderstorms.

Enjoy the beautiful final weekend of May!

New Severe Thunderstorm Watch to the South of I-64 Until 10 P.M.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect from Metro Richmond north until 8 P.M. A new Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect from I-64 south until 10 P.M. Scattered thunderstorms developing across the region may contain strong, damaging winds up to 70 mph and hail.

CLICK HERE FOR CURRENT WARNINGS

Severe Thunderstorm Watch In Effect Until 8 P.M.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect along and north of Interstate 64 until 8 P.M. this evening. The watch area includes Henrico County and the City of Richmond, but not Chesterfield County and points south. Strong thunderstorms developing across the region could produce strong, damaging winds up to 70 mph and hail.

CLICK HERE FOR CURRENT WARNINGS

Mike's Weekend Getaway (May 30-31)

THE BEACHES

Saturday: Partly sunny...high around 80
Sunday: A mix of sun and clouds, warm...high in the low 80s

Water temperatures (as of Friday afternoon):
Virginia Beach: 63
Ocean City, MD: 63
Wilmington, NC: 76

THE MOUNTAINS
Saturday: Mostly sunny...high in the low 70s
Sunday: Partly sunny...high in the mid 70s

First Tropical Depression of the Season in the Atlantic...

The first tropical depression of the season formed this morning well east of the Virginia coast. It could become Tropical Storm Ana over the next 24 hours, but is moving northeast away from the Eastern seaboard. Check out the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center. The 2009 Atlantic hurricane season officially begins this coming Monday, June 1st.

Mike's Weekend Getaway

THE BEACHES

Saturday: Mostly sunny...high close to 80
Sunday: Partly sunny and warm, an isolated afternoon thunderstorm possible...high in the low 80s
Monday: A mix of sun and clouds, a few isolated afternoon thunderstorms...high in the low 80s

Water Temperatures (as of Friday afternoon)
Virginia Beach: 62 degrees
Ocean City: 68 degrees
Wilmington, NC: 71 degrees

THE MOUNTAINS

Saturday: Mostly sunny...high in the mid 70s
Sunday: Mostly cloudy, a few afternoon showers and thunderstorms...high in the low 70s
Monday: Mostly cloudy, scattered showers and thunderstorms...high in the low 70s

Holiday Weekend Update

As we go through the upcoming weekend, it will gradually get more humid and the increase in moisture will lead to some shower and thunderstorm chances. Saturday will feature a good amount of sunshine and afternoon temperatures in the mid 80s. The humidity will creep up, leading to more clouds on Sunday and possibly a few isolated afternoon thunderstorms. Temperatures should once again reach the mid 80s. On the holiday itself (Monday), we'll see a blend of clouds and sun with a greater likelihood of scattered thunderstorms as a front to the north settles into the Commonwealth. Temperatures should once again bounce back into the low and mid 80s during the afternoon.

The front will linger across the region on Tuesday, leading to more rain chances. Then it should lift back north on Wednesday, before a more significant front arrives on Thursday. I would say at this point, it looks like the highest chances for more widespread rainfall will probably be Tuesday and then again on Thursday.

Enjoy your holiday weekend!

Holiday Weekend Rain Chances Somewhat Low...

Rain chances for the upcoming long holiday weekend look relatively low. We'll continue with plenty of sunshine tomorrow and Saturday, continuing into the latter portion of the weekend. As we add a bit of moisture to the atmosphere, it will become more humid and overnight lows will be higher. Eventually there may be a few isolated afternoon and evening thunderstorms popping up later Sunday and Monday. But all in all, this should be a good weekend weather-wise. Afternoon highs are expected to be in the mid 80s, with overnight lows mainly in the 60s. A front lurking to the north will get closer to us Sunday and Monday and that could be the trigger for a few storms to develop. By Tuesday, that front will kick back to the north and we'll have to wait for the next front to bring more rain chances, which will probably be later in the new work week.

Warming Up The Next Few Days...

Temperatures will be on the rise as southerly breezes kick in tonight and tomorrow. Afternoon temperatures should average in the upper 70s and we may see a few widely scattered showers and thunderstorms develop later in the day. An approaching front will stall over the region and could trigger a few more storms Friday, as temperatures reach 80 degrees. This front will kick north of the area on Saturday, and southwest breezes should boost our temperatures well into the 80s. A few thunderstorms may again break out before evening, as the next front moves in from the west.

This front will be slow to move through the Mid-Atlantic and that will cause more clouds and showers on Sunday. Behind the front, temperatures will be on the cool side and the clouds could linger into early next week, depending on the exact placement of the front and any potential waves of low pressure that try to ride up along it.

Nice Late Spring Weather...

We're in for a cool night over the area, with mainly clear skies and a light wind producing overnight lows in the 40s. The sun will go back to work tomorrow, although a breeze off the ocean will keep temperatures in check. Afternoon readings should average in the low to mid 70s. Clouds will be on the increase tomorrow night, and I wouldn't be surprised if we catch a few light showers scattered about the region early Thursday morning. Warm southerly breezes will boost afternoon temperatures close to 80 degrees. Then a cold front approaching from the west may trigger some evening thunderstorms.

This front will get hung up over the region on Friday, so the rain chances have to remain in the forecast. By Saturday, this front kicks back to the north and our temperatures should bounce into the 80s. However, the next front will approach later in the day and that could trigger yet another round of thunderstorms. As is typical of this time of the year, this front will slow down and will likely keep our rain chances going on Sunday.

Severe Thunderstorm Watch Until 9 P.M.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect until 9 P.M. this evening. The watch includes Metro Richmond, Charlottesville, Fredericksburg, Farmville, the Tri-Cities and the Northern Neck.

Thunderstorms are expected to develop across the region, with the potential for strong storms that contain damaging wind gusts to 70 mph and hail.

CLICK HERE FOR CURRENT WARNINGS

A Warm Friday and The Weekend Outlook...

The sun has finally returned! While we may catch a passing shower this evening, all in all it will be a bit drier to finish the work week. Expect a blend of sun and clouds tomorrow, with afternoon temperatures in the 80s! There is the slight risk of an isolated thundershower later in the day, but the chances are quite low.

There's a better shot at scattered showers and thunderstorms on Saturday, as the next cold front arrives in the area. Temperatures should still rise into the 80s and the day won't be a washout. As the front settles south on Sunday, I expect Mother's Day to be pretty nice, with ample sunshine and afternoon temperatures in the mid and upper 70s.

Moisture will sneak back north on Monday as this front won't get very far from us, so the clouds will quickly return and we may see a few showers. Then high pressure will build in from the north on Tuesday, clearing our skies once again.

Some Drier and Warmer Weather Coming...

Showers will linger over the area this morning, but skies will brighten this afternoon as the sun makes an appearance. Temperatures should rise to around 80 degrees, making for a warm afternoon. The week will end with a rather nice Friday. Skies should be partly sunny with afternoon temperatures in the low to mid 80s. It will be a bit on the humid side as well, with another cold front approaching from the west later on. This front probably won't get through here until Saturday...so most if not all of Friday will be dry. There may be a few isolated late day or evening thunderstorms popping up, but the greater chances will come on Saturday. The front should slide south of us on Sunday, leading to a pretty nice Mother's Day.

Early next week, the front could waver a bit before probably dissipating and that could bring more cloudiness and even a threat for precipitation on Monday. But that's a ways off...

Tornado Watch Until 4 A.M.

A Tornado Watch is now in effect for virtually all of Central and Eastern Virginia until 4:00 A.M. Isolated strong thunderstorms developing over the region overnight could produce damaging winds, hail and an isolated tornado or two.

CLICK HERE FOR CURRENT WARNINGS

A Tornado Watch is in effect from Metro Richmond and I-64 south until 9:00 P.M. Thunderstorms are expected to develop across the region, which may contain strong wind gusts and hail...and could spawn an isolated tornado or two.

CLICK HERE FOR CURRENT WARNINGS

Tornado Watch From Metro Richmond South Until 6 P.M.

A Tornado Watch is in effect from Metro Richmond and I-64 south until 6 P.M. The atmosphere has become quite unstable over us. A few strong thunderstorms will develop over the region and could spawn isolated tornadoes.

CLICK HERE FOR CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS

Wet Weather Ahead...

Well the NASCAR race squeezed in, despite a few heavier showers and thunderstorms that passed by. A front sneaking into the region will be sitting over the Mid-Atlantic the next couple of days. Waves of low pressure will bring rounds of showers and thunderstorms, with the likelihood of heaviest rain coming as early as later today, but most likely overnight into tomorrow. More showers will continue into early Tuesday, with a possible break coming for the afternoon. The model data shows the potential for a widespread rainfall of an inch or more by Tuesday morning, but there will be locally heavier amounts due to thunderstorms. Temperatures will lower a bit the next two days, with the wind swinging to the east and northeast. Then readings will rise later in the week back above 80 degrees.

NASCAR Weather Update...Tonight Probably OK, Saturday Not Good...

The weekend forecast remains on track. A few scattered showers and thunderstorms will pop up this evening, but the race at RIR should get done. Race time temperatures will average in the mid 70s. Tomorrow the weather will go downhill, with numerous showers and thunderstorms, especially during the afternoon and evening. So conditions for the Russ Friedman 400 don't look good...I'd say we've got at least a 60% threat of showers and thunderstorms at race time (with temperatures in the low 70s). It certainly looks quite wet through the rest of the weekend, so even if they postpone the race, conditions will be less than ideal on Sunday.

The unsettled weather will linger into the early part of next week, with the threat for at least a few showers and thunderstorms remaining Monday and Tuesday. Then we'll gradually dry out and warm up during the middle of the week.

An Unsettled Weekend Coming...

No change to the weekend forecast at this point...

We'll see a little sun tomorrow, and gusty southwest breezes will boost temperatures back above 80 degrees. Later in the day, expect a few scattered thunderstorms to develop. At this point, with most of the action scattered, RIR should be able to get the Lipton Tea 250 race in, although they may have to dodge some raindrops. Race time temperatures will average in the mid 70s.

It's Saturday's race that still concerns me. Numerous showers and thunderstorms will be over the region later Saturday and Saturday night. So the prospects don't look as good for the Russ Friedman 400 race. Race time temperatures will average in the lower 70s.

The rain will be due to a front that will wiggle its way back and forth (north/south) over the Mid-Atlantic through the weekend and early next week. That will cause occasional showers and thunderstorms to develop, so an unsettled period of weather is likely into early next week.

Rain Could Threaten NASCAR This Weekend...

Our rain chances will definitely be going up over the next few days. That's not to say it will rain all the time or even that often, but the threat will be there. Today will produce mostly cloudy skies and a shower here and there, but mostly "dry" conditions. Warmer southwest breezes will boost Friday temperatures back above 80 degrees and the threat for thunderstorms will enter the picture later in the day, as our next front approaches from the west. So the weather could potentially be a factor in the Friday night race at RIR.

It will probably be a more significant factor in the Saturday night race, as scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible over the weekend, and particularly later Saturday into Sunday. Temperatures over the weekend will average in the mid 70s during the day.

Unsettled weather will probably linger into early next week as well, with readings in the upper 60s on Monday to the mid 70s on Tuesday.

A Change In the Wind...

The streak of hot weather is about to come to an end. A cold front sliding through the area by sunrise will turn our wind from the southwest around to the northeast. This will mean a much cooler day tomorrow, with afternoon temperatures in the 60s. Skies will become cloudy and there will probably be some showers developing in the afternoon. The unsettled weather will continue on Thursday, as the front creeps back north (after settling south tomorrow night). By Friday morning, the front will kick back to the north of us, enabling temperatures to soar back into the 80s.

Over the weekend, the next front will approach from the west and set up shop over the Mid-Atlantic. This will lead to more unsettled weather with a few scattered showers and thunderstorms from time to time. Temperatures over the weekend should be in the 70s during the day and 50s overnight.

One More Hot Day...Then Some Rain Chances

After 3 days of 90+ temperatures, we've got one more hot day on the way. Gusty southwest breezes will boost Tuesday afternoon temperatures to around 90 once again. Then a front will slide in from the northwest by Wednesday morning. The wind will swing to the northeast, and temperatures will be limited to the lower 70s at best (we may not get out of the 60s). Our rain chances will increase as well, especially by later Wednesday and Thursday. We'll likely stay in the 60s on Thursday, before the front kicks back to the north by Friday morning. That will enable temperatures to rise back above 80 to finish the work week. We may catch a couple of scattered thunderstorms later Friday, with another shot on Saturday as the next front approaches from the west. This front may linger over the area through the weekend, but that depends on the developing upper level flow. Stay tuned...

Hot This Weekend!

We're in for a rather steamy weekend across Central Virginia, as the temperature and humidity rise. Afternoon highs are likely to be around 90, but not record territory (the record high both Saturday and Sunday at RIC Airport is 96 degrees). Enjoy the bright, blue skies and tons of sun, but don't forget to protect yourself from too much exposure to the sun.

The very warm weather will continue into early next week, with afternoon highs still in the mid to upper 80s Monday and Tuesday. There will be a front teasing us just to the north on Monday, but it will likely kick back to the north. A more significant front will approach Tuesday night and Wednesday, leading to increasing rain chances and eventually somewhat cooler weather.

The Heat Is On For the Weekend...

Tonight will be another cool night, with temperatures lowering into the 30s in some outlying communities. However, the warming trend will continue tomorrow, with afternoon highs close to 80. Then Mother Nature will really turn up the heat this weekend, as we head for the upper 80s to around 90 each afternoon. I don't expect any records though, as you can see the following record highs are way up there:
Saturday 4/25 96 degrees, set in 1925
Sunday 4/26 96 degrees, set in 1960
Monday 4/27 96 degrees, set in 1990

The very warm weather will last into early next week, with the next front not approaching until later Tuesday or Wednesday. Our rain chances will probably go up by mid-week, with a few showers and thunderstorms possibly developing on Wednesday. Until then, it's warm to hot, and rain-free.

Changeable Weather Today...Warm For the Weekend...

Gusty, cooler breezes will be the rule today, with changeable skies and a few more showers popping up here and there. Afternoon temperatures will average in the lower 60s, and temperatures tonight will lower to near 40 in the city, with chilly 30s in rural communities. However, the cooler air won't stick around all that long, as readings should rebound to the upper 60s tomorrow and well into the 70s on Friday.

Lots of bright sunshine is on the way to end the week and continue through the upcoming weekend. We'll be nice and warm as high pressure slowly slides to the Mid-Atlantic coast. West-southwest breezes Saturday and Sunday should boost afternoon temperatures into the mid 80s, and we'll stay warm into early next week.

Tornado Watch In Effect Until 10 P.M.

A Tornado Watch is in effect for all of Central Virginia until 10 P.M. Scattered thunderstorms across the region this evening could be on the strong side and possibly spawn an isolated tornado.

CLICK HERE FOR CURRENT SEVERE WEATHER WARNINGS

Changeable Skies Through Tomorrow...Another Warm Weekend Coming...

We'll still be a bit unsettled over the next 24 hours, as low pressure tracks to our north and a cold front slides through the region. A few showers and possibly a thunderstorm will roll across the Mid-Atlantic tonight, and we'll probably see a few more scattered showers tomorrow. Then drier air will filter into the area on Wednesday, and it will be a bit cooler as well. Temperatures tomorrow should be in the low to mid 70s, with readings on Wednesday averaging in the low to mid 60s.

Later this week, we'll see lots of sunshine and temperatures will start rising again. After a cool start Thursday morning, we'll get up to near 70 during the afternoon. Then by Friday afternoon, we'll be approaching 80 degrees.

The coming weekend promises to offer more sunshine and warmth. At this time, afternoon temperatures are expected to be in the low to mid 80s, with overnight lows in the 50s.

A Mild Weekend...

We've got a great day on tap tomorrow to start the weekend. Lots of sunshine and blue skies will dominate, with afternoon temperatures rising into the upper 70s to around 80. The second half of the weekend won't be quite as nice with increasing cloud cover, but temperatures should still be up around 70 degrees. Our rain chances will increase by evening, although we shouldn't see more than a few showers.

The best rain chances will come on Monday with a warm front sitting just to our south. This will keep temperatures a bit lower, averaging in the lower 60s. By Tuesday, low pressure will track north of us, but more showers are possible. Cooler air will drift in behind this system for the middle of the week, but clearing skies are expected by Wednesday.

Frost Advisory Overnight...Then Warmer Days On the Way...

A Frost Advisory is up for all of Central Virginia, effective tomorrow morning from 3 A.M. until 8 A.M. The wind will lighten up and clear skies will enable temperatures to plummet into the 30s. Areas of frost are expected of parts of the area, especially away from the city. The advisory time is when temperatures will be near the freezing mark and frost could form.

During the day tomorrow, the sun will go to work and afternoon temperatures will be up around 70 degrees. We'll be even warmer over the weekend, with a beautiful day on Saturday, followed by some clouds arriving on Sunday. Rain chances will begin to enter the picture late Sunday or Sunday night, with the best chances coming Monday and Tuesday.

The Sun Returns...Warmer Air On the Way...

After a couple of dreary days, the sun makes its appearance today, which will boost temperatures back above 60 degrees. There will be a bit of a north-northeast breeze though, so that will keep temperatures slightly below average for this time of the year. However, we'll be warming up the next couple of days, with afternoon highs above 70 both Friday and Saturday. We'll also enjoy plenty of sunshine, as high pressure drifts over the Mid-Atlantic.

The clouds will move back in on Sunday, as our next system approaches from the west. This will increase our rain chances possibly as early as Sunday evening, but more likely Monday and Tuesday.

A Rainy Tuesday...Brighter Later In the Week...

A period of gloomy, unsettled weather is likely the next couple of days. We'll have a few showers around from time to time tonight, with steadier rain likely at times tomorrow. There will still be showers with us on Wednesday and the computer data continues to suggest the possibility of one inch or more of rain in many places before all is said and done Wednesday afternoon.

Skies will then brighten to finish the week, and lots of sunshine on Friday will boost afternoon temperatures to 70 degrees or higher. It looks like a great start to the new weekend with temperatures in the 70s on Saturday. Sunday is a bit up in the air right now, as another system will be approaching from the west. There is some disagreement amongst the longer range models as to whether we see any rain chances Sunday afternoon, or any precipitation holds off until later Sunday night or Monday. For now, I've added the threat Sunday afternoon...

The week ahead...

Cool, unsettled weather will dominate the first half of this week. We may see a little sun to start this morning, but the clouds will quickly thicken and we'll likely see some showers by evening. Some steadier rain is possible overnight into Tuesday and our computer data is showing the possible for an inch or more across parts of the area. As low pressure tracks across Virginia and to the Mid-Atlantic coast on Wednesday, more showers are in the forecast...but skies may brighten sometime Wednesday afternoon.

Conditions will improve later in the week, with increasing sunshine and rising temperatures. We could close in on 70 degrees by Friday and the weekend should be relatively mild with ample sunshine.

A Sunny Easter...Rain Returns By Tuesday...

We're in for a great holiday tomorrow, with lots of sunshine and afternoon temperatures right around 60 degrees. That's a little cool for this time of the year, but it should feel refreshing with all of the sunshine. All in all, great weather for Easter on Parade.

The new work week will start on the cool side, with clouds quickly increasing Monday afternoon. Our next system will slowly track into the region from the west. It appears there will be a warm front setting up shop to our south, so we'll again be on the cool side with afternoon temperatures mainly in the 50s Monday and Tuesday. Rain should be with us on Tuesday and linger into early Wednesday, as low pressure slowly tracks off the Mid-Atlantic coast.

Clearing skies will then take over for the end of the week, but temperatures may still be slightly below average, as high pressure builds to our north. As the high crests over the coast by Saturday, the new weekend should start off nicely.

A Little Bit of Snow For Some This Morning...

Precipitation over the region early this morning will be a wintry mixture for some. South and east of the city, you can expect just rain...but areas north and west have seen light snow during the very early morning hours and that is likely to continue through the morning drive. In the metro, we're likely to see a mixture of light rain, sleet and wet snow. As daylight takes over, even though the sky is overcast, the sun does have an impact. And it's a strong March sun, so the lower layers will warm enough for the precipitation to switch to rain where there has been some snow early on. With temperatures mostly above the freezing mark, no accumulation is expected, although north of town a light coating is likely on cooler surfaces. Up in the Shenandoah Valley, some minor accumulation is likely as well.

Record High At RIC Airport...

We tied a record high Monday afternoon with a temperature of 82 degrees at RIC Airport. This tied the record set back on March 9, 2000. This came after two record lows last week, including an all-time record low of 10 degrees, set last Wednesday, March 4th.

A New Record Low For the Month of March!

The low temperature at RIC Airport this morning was 10 degrees. This sets a new record low for the date, breaking the old record of 11, set in 1943. It also establishes a new record low temperature for the month of March, breaking the old record of 11 set on several previous dates.

Record Low This Morning at RIC...

The low temperature of 11 degrees at RIC Airport this morning set a new record. The previous record was 14 degrees, set back in 1925.

Snow Totals Around the Area...

Here are some totals from across central Virginia as of mid-morning:

Midlothian 10.0"
Chester 6.0"
Short Pump 9.7"
Sandston 9.5"
Winterpock 7.5"
Petersburg 5.0"
Charles City 7.0"
Troy 9.5"
Palmyra 8.0"
Lake Monticello 7.5"
Hadensville 9.0"
Doswell 7.0"
Gum Tree 7.0"
Mechanicsville 7.0"
Rockville 6.9"
Bumpass 8.5"
Farmville 8.0"
Hampden Sydney 9.5"
South Hill 3.0"
Lawrenceville 2.5"
Disputanta 5.0"
Williamsburg 3.0"
Wakefield 2.3"
Dinwiddie 6.0"
Virginia Beach 1.0"
Franklin 1.0"
Newport News 1.3"

Snowfall Forecast...Sunday Afternoon Update

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Metro Richmond: 3-6 inches
Western Henrico/Hanover north to Caroline and west to Charlottesville: 4-8 inches
Louisa/Fredericksburg/Spotsylvania/Stafford: 8+ inches
Tri-Cities: 3-5 inches
Williamsburg: 2-4 inches
Northern Neck: 2-4 inches on the eastern end, 4-7 inches to the west
Farmville: 4-8 inches

The forecast remains on target. North and west of Richmond, mixed precipitation (with more sleet and snow the farther away from the city you go) continues, while from the city south and east it's mainly rain. Heavier precipitation will move into the region this evening and gradually colder air will start to take over. Everyone should see a changeover to snow by later tonight. There remain some concerns regarding accumulation, mainly the prolonged period of rain/sleet this evening (especially east of I-95) and the possibility of drier air wrapping into the system. That being said, this will be the most significant snowfall in many years across the region and we'll be waking up to a good coverage of snow on the ground. Stay tuned and stay safe!