Saturday afternoon update...

The storm is right on target. Low pressure over northern Arkansas will move quickly northeast, with a secondary low developing just inland over NC & VA later tonight. The two will merge into a strong storm over New England on Sunday.

Those wishing for a snowstorm are out of luck. High pressure located over northern NY and southern Ontario, Canada is strong enough, but not in a good position for snow here. An onshore flow will flood the area with milder air tonight, meaning RAIN for Richmond and much of the region. The only places that will see some winter precipitation are the favored spots well north and west of Richmond up into the mountains. Here's more on what to expect:

Metro Richmond and all points south and east: A light rain developing between 4 P.M. and 7 P.M., becoming steadier and heavier overnight
Louisa/Caroline north and west to Fredericksburg and Charlottesville: A mix of sleet and rain, some icy accumulation possible before a changeover to rain
Farther north and west, Harrisonburg, Staunton and the I-81 corridor: A mix of snow, sleet and freezing rain, at the start, then becoming primarily liquid (rain/freezing rain, depending on surface temperatures)...some ice accumulation likely

As the storm departs the area Sunday, the wind will really pick up and skies will begin to clear as substanial drying takes place. Winds in the Richmond area will average between 20 and 25 mph, with gusts over 30 mph at times. Wind gusts along the coast are likely to reach 45-50 mph.