Late afternoon update...

The new NAM run is in and it continues to trend toward the European solution...a track farther south and east. It leaves Metro Richmond with very little precipitation...so the call here will likely be an inch or less of snow. Counties north and west would see nothing more than flurries (if that), as the Arctic air enters the state. The main focus will be counties well south and east of Richmond, from Williamsburg to Emporia and out to Hampton Roads. It may be too warm to snow in this region when precipitation starts...but any rain should change to snow and there is the potential for a couple of inches. But again...the Richmond area/Tri-Cities probably will just get some light snow or snow showers amounting to less than an inch. More updates as new data arrives...