Thursday, January 17, 2008

Storm reports...and the potential Saturday system

Here are some snow/sleet accumulation totals from around the region:

Metro Richmond/Short Pump 0.5"-1.0"
Ruther Glen (Caroline) 2.0" (some ice on top)
Coatesville (Hanover) 1.0"
Locust Grove (Orange) 3.0"
Stafford 2.0" (ice on top)
Spotsylvania 2.5" (ice on top)
Northumberland 1.0"
Charlottesville 4.3"
Harrisonburg 5.0"

Thanks to John Wheeler, Patsy Colley, Rick Rice and Skip Bond for their updates!

Except for areas well north and west of Richmond, we'll see a bit more rain into the evening before it tapers off. All eyes will turn to Saturday afternoon/evening, when another storm tries to ride up the East Coast. This could potentially lead to more snow. The model data continues to struggle with this system, with the NAM model showing a whopper of an event for us, while the other popular American model, the GFS, takes the system farther east resulting in lighter preciptation for us. The overall pattern is rather complicated, as the Arctic air will be nosing in from the west/northwest and as always, the timing will be key. Energy around an upper trough to the west will need to buckle the flow a bit to bring the storm into Virginia. Otherwise it will get shoved out to our south and east. There are so many questions right now, and I'll try to sort it out a bit more in a post later this evening.

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