Snow looks likely Saturday afternoon/evening...

All the signs continue to point toward snow over central Virginia tomorrow afternoon and evening. Low pressure developing in the northern Gulf will track up along the coast and be just off the NC coast Saturday evening. This should spread moisture over our area during the afternoon. Colder, Arctic air will be oozing in from the west and the meeting of the two will trigger the development of snow. Then the question is how much? All of the model solutions are converging on a track off the coast, but they differ a bit in the amount of moisture that is thrown back into our area. In general, the consensus is for slightly more than .25" of liquid, which could equate to a 2-4 inch snowfall. The exact track of the storm will determine whether we get more or less. The European model has shown a track farther east for the past few runs. That is concerning for snow lovers, as it would mean much less precipitation. But the fact there is general consensus amongst most of the model suite has me thinking we'll see at least some accumulating snow. An update coming later today, when we should have a better idea on potential amounts...