Tropical Storm Fay is now back over water, about 50 miles south of Tallahassee, FL as of 11 P.M. Friday night. The storm is moving west at about 8 mph and regaining strength. With this motion expected to continue, Fay will be near or over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico coast during the weekend. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect from Suwanee River, FL westward to the Mississippi/Alabama border. A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued from west of the Mississippi/Alabama border to the mouth of the Mississippi River. The watch does not include Lake Pontchartrain or the city of New Orleans.
As seen in the computer model tracks, Fay should stay across the Deep South the next couple of days. The storm is expected to produce total rainfall of 5 to 10 inches across the northern Florida Peninsula, the Florida Panhandle, southern Georgia, southern Alabama and southern Mississippi, with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches possible. Additional rainfall of 1-2 inches is possible over central and southern Florida in the outer rain bands associated with Fay. Isolated storm total rainfall amounts of 20-30 inches have been observed across portions of the east-central coast of Florida.
Eventually, moisture from Fay is expected to make its way northeast into the Mid-Atlantic. Most likely, clouds will be on the increase by Tuesday afternoon and the earliest we would see any rain is probably Tuesday night. Rain chances will then increase Wednesday into Thursday.
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