Fay continues to drift north-northeast across the Florida Peninsula and should be off the East Coast later today. It is likely to stay near the northeast coast of Florida through Thursday. The storm has weakened a bit, with maximum sustained winds near 50 mph, but restrengthening probably will occur when it moves back over the Atlantic. Heavy rain and isolated tornadoes are the main threat right now along the East Coast of Florida. A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect from north of Jupiter Inlet to Flager Beach, and for Lake Okeechobee. A Hurricane Watch is in effect from north of Flagler Beach to Altamaha Sound, GA and a Tropical Storm Watch is in effect from north of Altamaha Sound to the Savannah River.
In terms of the latest computer data, the hurricane models continue to show the storm getting blocked by a big ridge of high pressure developing along the East Coast. This will likely steer the storm back inland over northern Florida and then west-northwestward by the weekend. There is some disagreement as to the exact track and whether it will stay inland, moving over southern Georgia and Alabama...or whether it could potentially move over the waters of the northern Gulf of Mexico. Either way, we here in central Virginia will not be impacted by the storm until at least early next week. The longer range computer data does show the possibility of significant moisture from the system moving north along the coast by either Tuesday or Wednesday, so stay tuned!
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