Fay is now located just south of the central Cuba coast. As expected, it has strengthened a bit over the last 24 hours, with maximum sustained winds now at 50 mph. Tropical Storm Warnings and Hurricane Watches remain in effect for much of Cuba. As for the U.S., a Hurricane Watch is in effect for the Florida Keys from south of Ocean Reef to Key West...and along the Florida Mainland from Card Sound Bridge westward to Anna Maria Island. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the Florida Keys from Craig Key westward to the Dry Tortugas and a Tropical Storm Watch is posted along the southeast Florida coast from Ocean Reef northward to Jupiter Inlet...as well as Lake Okeechobee.
Some continued strengthening is expected tonight, and Fay could be near hurricane strength as it approaches western Cuba very late tonight or early tomorrow morning. The storm is currently moving west-northwest at 17 mph (as of Sunday afternoon), but a gradual turn to the north with a slower forward speed is expected by midday Monday. Following the National Hurricane Center forecast track above, Fay will likely be near the Florida Keys Monday night.
As for the long term, the computer data suite (the early morning run shown below) still has a lot of disagreement, but there is some consensus that Fay could end up tracking into the Southeast U.S. during the middle of the work week. With a significant area of high pressure just to our north, it looks like at the very least a rather persistent southeast wind flow will set up across Virginia and the Carolinas. This will lead to an increasing rain threat, and depending on the track of Fay, some significant rain is a possibility, so stay tuned...
Some continued strengthening is expected tonight, and Fay could be near hurricane strength as it approaches western Cuba very late tonight or early tomorrow morning. The storm is currently moving west-northwest at 17 mph (as of Sunday afternoon), but a gradual turn to the north with a slower forward speed is expected by midday Monday. Following the National Hurricane Center forecast track above, Fay will likely be near the Florida Keys Monday night.
As for the long term, the computer data suite (the early morning run shown below) still has a lot of disagreement, but there is some consensus that Fay could end up tracking into the Southeast U.S. during the middle of the work week. With a significant area of high pressure just to our north, it looks like at the very least a rather persistent southeast wind flow will set up across Virginia and the Carolinas. This will lead to an increasing rain threat, and depending on the track of Fay, some significant rain is a possibility, so stay tuned...
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