Monday, January 19, 2009

Tuesday Snowfall: What To Expect


OK, the time is upon us...most of us are actually going to see some snow tomorrow!
The new data coming in is consistent with earlier model runs. Some light snow will develop over southern Virginia late tonight and then spread up to the Metro Richmond area early tomorrow morning. The developing area of low pressure will cross the Carolinas and move quickly off the coast and begin to strengthen. It should be too far south and east of us to provide significant snow for central Virginia, but a light snowfall with accumulation up to around an inch is a good possibility. Higher amounts will be found as you head south, with up to 2" in the Tri-Cities over to Williamsburg (a Winter Weather Advisory is in effect) and then 2-4 inches along the North Carolina border over to Norfolk/VA Beach (where a Winter Storm Warning is posted). They will see a few heavier bursts as the storm begins to deepen. The snow jackpot winners will be northeastern North Carolina, from Raleigh east to the coast, where a swath of 3-6 inches is possible!
Keep in mind that this is a close call, and any slight change in the storm track to the north could bring more significant snow to central Virginia, so check back later tonight/early tomorrow morning just in case.

Here's the lowdown on accumulation potential:

Richmond Metro: Up to about an inch or so

North of Ashland & West of Goochland: Nothing more than a few flurries or snow showers

Tri-Cities over to Williamsburg: 1-2 inches possible (Winter Weather Advisory in effect)

Emporia and Franklin over to Norfolk/VA Beach: 2-4 inches possible (Winter Storm Warning in effect)

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

Mike, thanks for your insight, you had been hinting since last week so glad to see your call verify. You have a following on the Easter US Weather Forum in the Central VA/Hampton Roads thread.

Mike Goldberg said...

Many thanks...I appreciate the support! It's nice to see this may very well verify...as you know, it's not all that easy around here to get winter weather and have a forecast verify so far in advance! Enjoy!

Anonymous said...

It has been a very hard winter to forecast systems this year but Mike always do a great job, i really hope Mike gets back on Tv doing the weather one day in the future.