Wednesday, January 14, 2009

Wednesday Update on the Weekend Potential...

Not much new on the Sunday front at this point. The European model has shifted its low track a little to the north today and is not as impressive with the approaching upper level energy. However, it should be noted that the disturbance that is being tracked is quite a ways south of the Aleutian Islands today in an area that lacks some data...so I wouldn't lean too much on one model run this far out. The earlier European gained some support from the Canadian GEM today and I still believe we have a shot at seeing some accumulating snowfall Sunday and/or Sunday night. The GFS seems to have caught on to the basic developing situation, with low pressure developing along the coast, although it looks too far south. The transfer of energy to the coast may be the key here, as the European still shows the new development off the coast, lingering moisture over our area into Monday morning (today's run with solutions for Sunday AM and Monday AM are posted below).

At this point I see no reason to alter the forecast. I still believe this will not be a major event, but the possibility exists for some accumulating light snow. Stay tuned for updates!

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